2024 Presidential Election Winner Prediction

2024 Presidential Election Winner Prediction. Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.

Allan lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.